Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.345190 0.450704 0.565760 0.698734 0.846552 1.004414 1.184403
2025-09-14 0.188711 0.322263 0.485748 0.691312 0.935309 1.209562 1.535635
2025-09-21 0.108617 0.243604 0.427050 0.673096 0.978492 1.332911 1.764738
2025-09-28 0.074317 0.214393 0.421931 0.713576 1.086481 1.528019 2.073985
2025-10-05 0.053580 0.197688 0.428077 0.763969 1.203026 1.730401 2.389231
2025-10-12 0.036075 0.178999 0.426978 0.801665 1.301494 1.909613 2.676168
2025-10-19 0.027175 0.173552 0.443808 0.862401 1.428408 2.122792 3.003124
2025-10-26 0.018327 0.163088 0.450411 0.907422 1.534087 2.309407 3.298012
2025-11-02 0.008545 0.140731 0.433614 0.916700 1.591381 2.435174 3.518917
2025-11-09 0.000707 0.101574 0.379608 0.866611 1.566405 2.455923 3.610654
2025-11-16 NaN 0.067266 0.324372 0.808435 1.526194 2.454345 3.672571
2025-11-23 NaN 0.048895 0.295758 0.788284 1.535761 2.514235 3.808415
2025-11-30 NaN 0.038552 0.283957 0.796664 1.588359 2.633950 4.024511
2025-12-07 NaN 0.026914 0.263694 0.789121 1.617890 2.724118 4.204869
2025-12-14 NaN 0.016170 0.238342 0.769472 1.627815 2.787058 4.349753
2025-12-21 NaN 0.015257 0.247877 0.812897 1.730511 2.972701 4.649537
2025-12-28 NaN 0.015682 0.263013 0.866802 1.848891 3.179331 4.976072
2026-01-04 NaN 0.014513 0.270861 0.907062 1.947030 3.359186 5.268926
2026-01-11 NaN 0.016177 0.291668 0.971807 2.081855 3.588058 5.624095
2026-01-18 NaN 0.015901 0.303513 1.019714 2.191637 3.783722 5.937391
2026-01-25 NaN 0.011779 0.295471 1.029579 2.244337 3.903242 6.154191
2026-02-01 NaN 0.004118 0.256163 0.976290 2.200290 3.892284 6.204414
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000312 0.215292 0.914285 2.139836 3.857144 6.222115